Will TikTok publicly admit it deliberately excluded about 15 million accounts from the safer-algorithm update?

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YES if publicly available independent reporting, such as a photo, video, an official itinerary or press release, an airport arrival, or two or more reputable news organisations, shows that either Prince Harry or Meghan Markle was physically present in the United Kingdom (England, Scotland, Wales, or Northern Ireland) at any time no later than August 31, 2026. Preferred sources include the Royal Household's public schedule or major international news agencies such as the BBC, Reuters, or AP. Presence in British Overseas Territories or in the Republic of Ireland does not count, private movements that are not publicly documented do not count, and reports that clearly identify a different person with the same name do not count.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 30, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against 20minutos.es. For now, the crowd puts YES at 71%, based on 32 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the timeline and their recent absence from public events, it’s unlikely we'll see either Harry or Meghan in the UK before the end of this month. No credible reports will emerge in time.

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41%
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94%
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49%
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70%
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84%
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