Will PRI poll ahead of MC on Sep 3?

🤖 Context

Resolves YES if the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) topline percentage is strictly greater than Movimiento Ciudadano's (MC) topline percentage in the single most-recent poll row shown in the "Main voting-intention" table on the Wikipedia page "Opinion polling for the 2027 Mexican legislative election" as that page exists at 00:00 on September 4, 2026 (UTC−6). Otherwise NO. If the most-recent poll row omits either PRI or MC, shows a non-numeric entry for either party, or shows equal percentages for the two parties, the market resolves NO. If the Wikipedia page lists multiple polls that share the latest date, the topmost poll row on the page is used as the most-recent poll.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 4, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 4, 2026. The outcome will be settled against en.wikipedia.org. For now, the crowd puts YES at 56%, based on 0 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

56%

Predictions made

0

Credits staked

0

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 20, 2026

Closes

Sep 4, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 4, 2026

Resolution source

en.wikipedia.org

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 4, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 4, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 56% and NO 44%, based on 0 predictions and 0 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against en.wikipedia.org once the outcome is known.

Is “Will PRI poll ahead of MC on Sep 3?” real-money betting?

No. “Will PRI poll ahead of MC on Sep 3?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.