🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 28 · Results Oct 30
Will Russian and Ukrainian forces start a temporary ceasefire in Oleshky that allows aid deliveries or organized evacuations?
73%
+1% last 24h
433 bets · 17.4K credits4
Details →
PoliticsOpened Jun 30 · Results Jul 4
Will President Trump's July 4th 'Trump rally' on the National Mall be the largest Independence Day celebration in U.S. history?
68%
Stable · last 24h
📊 705 bettors💎 12.4K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Jul 4🤖 Context
This market will resolve to 'YES' if the July 4, 2026, 'Trump rally' on the National Mall is officially recognized as the largest Independence Day celebration in U.S. history, based on attendance figures or official records. It will resolve to 'NO' if it is not recognized as such.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No68%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 68% sure, and they got it wrong.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 68%
- Predictions made
- 705
- Credits staked
- 12,368
- Comments
- 0
- Opened
- Jun 30, 2026
- Closes
- Jul 4, 2026
- Resolved
- Jul 6, 2026
- Outcome
- No
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