🏛️Politics
Closes Aug 15 · Results Aug 16
Will the US publicly say it carried out a strike inside Iran or on Iranian government facilities by 12:00 PM on August 16, 2026 (Eastern US time)?
25%
-1% last 24h
2148 bets · 45.9K credits6
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PoliticsResults Jul 4
Will President Trump's July 4th 'Trump rally' on the National Mall be the largest Independence Day celebration in U.S. history?
68%
Stable · last 24h
📊 10 bettors💎 325 at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Jul 4🤖 Context
This market will resolve to 'YES' if the July 4, 2026, 'Trump rally' on the National Mall is officially recognized as the largest Independence Day celebration in U.S. history, based on attendance figures or official records. It will resolve to 'NO' if it is not recognized as such.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No68%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 68% sure, and they got it wrong.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 68%
- Predictions made
- 10
- Credits staked
- 325
- Comments
- 0
- Opened
- Jun 30, 2026
- Closes
- Jul 4, 2026
- Resolved
- Jul 6, 2026
- Outcome
- No
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