🏢Tech·Big TechCloses Oct 26
Will Google's market share be above 19.6%?
64%
+8% last 24h
666 bets · 23.3K credits11
Details →
TechOpened Jun 3 · Results Jul 1
Will President Trump’s AI executive order prompt at least one major U.S. AI company to delay a model release beyond the voluntary 30‑day preview window?
30%
Stable · last 24h
📊 2001 bettors💎 37.3K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Jul 1🤖 Context
“Yes” if any leading U.S. AI developer officially announces postponing a model’s public launch to comply with the voluntary 30‑day government preview window; “No” if no such delay is announced by the resolution date.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes30%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 70% sure, and they got it wrong.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 30%
- Predictions made
- 2,001
- Credits staked
- 37,286
- Comments
- 0
- Opened
- Jun 3, 2026
- Closes
- Jun 15, 2026
- Resolved
- Jul 1, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- investing.com, tomshardware.com, techtarget.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 0 comments
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