Will PP lead PSOE by more than 6 points on Sep 28?

🤖 Context

YES if, in the poll that appears as the topmost (first) row of the 'Main voting-intention table' on the Wikipedia page 'Opinion polling for the next Spanish general election' when checked no later than 00:00 CEST on 28 September 2026, the numeric percentage shown in the PP column minus the numeric percentage shown in the PSOE column is strictly greater than 6.0 percentage points, using the percentages exactly as displayed. If the topmost poll row does not report a numeric percentage for both PP and PSOE (blank, dash, '—' or 'N/A'), the market resolves NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 27, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 27, 2026. The outcome will be settled against en.wikipedia.org. For now, the crowd puts YES at 69%, based on 9 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

69%

Predictions made

9

Credits staked

310

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 13, 2026

Closes

Sep 27, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 27, 2026

Resolution source

en.wikipedia.org

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 27, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 27, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 69% and NO 31%, based on 9 predictions and 310 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against en.wikipedia.org once the outcome is known.

Is “Will PP lead PSOE by more than 6 points on Sep 28?” real-money betting?

No. “Will PP lead PSOE by more than 6 points on Sep 28?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.