Will “Toy Story 5” gross over $250 million worldwide by August 31, 2026?

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Resolved: No
Results Jul 23YES if Billboard's official Hot 100 chart page shows the track titled "Party In The U.S.A." credited to Miley Cyrus at any position from 1 through 10 on the Hot 100 chart dated Saturday, July 25, 2026. Otherwise NO. If Billboard does not publish a Hot 100 chart dated July 25, 2026, or if Billboard lists the title but credits it to an artist string that does not include "Miley Cyrus", the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settled36%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 64% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Billboard Hot 100 chart dated 2026-07-25 must show the track titled "Party In The U.S.A." credited to "Miley Cyrus" at any position 1–10 inclusive. Observed data (Hot 100 — chart dated 2026-07-25): #1 "Choosin' Texas" — Ella Langley; #2 "I Knew It, I Knew You" — Taylor Swift; #3 "Be Her" — Ella Langley; #4 "Hate That I Made You Love Me" — Ariana Grande; #5 "Dracula" — Tame Impala & JENNIE; #6 "Boston" — Stella Lefty; #7 "I Can't Love You Anymore" — Ella Langley & Morgan Wallen; #8 "Man I Need" — Olivia Dean; #9 "So Easy (To Fall In Love)" — Olivia Dean; #10 "I Just Might" — Bruno Mars. Comparison: none of positions 1–10 is "Party In The U.S.A." credited to Miley Cyrus. Therefore outcome is NO.
Source: billboard.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledno way this makes top 10 in 2026. it's a nostalgia trip, but the charts need fresh beats, not a throwback jam. 😅

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