Will Apple’s CEO transition to John Ternus occur on schedule (September 1, 2026)?

61%
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80%
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Market closed. Awaiting resolution.
Results Aug 30YES if the daily maximum temperature recorded for Paris on Saturday, August 29, 2026 is greater than or equal to 23.0 °C, otherwise NO. The daily maximum is the highest temperature recorded in Paris between 00:00:00 and 23:59:59 local time on that day. The value published by Open-Meteo is preferred, though other free public meteorological services or reputable news outlets are acceptable.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 26, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 30, 2026. The outcome will be settled against api.open-meteo.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 80%, based on 372 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith the forecast max at 22.7°C, it’s looking likely this won't hit 23°C. The short window and current forecast suggest a NO on this one.

61%
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39%
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46%
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46%
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29%
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45%
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