Will Bitcoin trade at or above $63,700 on August 15?

42%
Stable · last 24h

67%
Stable · last 24h
YES if the recorded daily maximum temperature in Paris on 17 August 2026 is at least 29.0 °C according to Open-Meteo, otherwise NO. If only hourly observations are published, the highest hourly temperature reported for Paris that calendar day in local Paris time will be used as the daily maximum. If multiple reputable sources publish different daily maxima, the Open-Meteo value will be used as the primary tiebreaker.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 14, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 18, 2026. The outcome will be settled against api.open-meteo.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 67%, based on 112 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith a forecast max of 28.8 °C, reaching 29 °C seems unlikely. Given the forecast's accuracy window, I doubt we'll hit that mark on the 17th.

42%
Stable · last 24h

64%
Stable · last 24h

17%
Stable · last 24h

56%
Stable · last 24h

45%
Stable · last 24h
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