Will Bitcoin be at or above $64,500 on Binance on August 14?

23%
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86%
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YES if the recorded daily maximum temperature for Paris on 16 August 2026 (midnight-to-midnight local time) is at least 29 °C according to Open‑Meteo. Otherwise NO. If Open‑Meteo does not provide a numeric daily maximum for Paris for that day, other reputable public meteorological sources will be used.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 13, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 17, 2026. The outcome will be settled against api.open-meteo.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 86%, based on 166 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledIt's not looking good for Paris hitting 29°C on the 16th; the forecast max is just 28.5°C. That's likely a miss unless something unexpected happens.

23%
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64%
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45%
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35%
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55%
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45%
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