Will Apple’s CEO transition to John Ternus occur on schedule (September 1, 2026)?

58%
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71%
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YES if the recorded daily maximum temperature for Paris on the local calendar day of 23 August 2026 is greater than or equal to 25.0 °C, otherwise NO. Resolve using Open‑Meteo's published daily maximum for Paris for that day. If Open‑Meteo has no numeric daily maximum, a clear numeric daily maximum from another reputable meteorological provider or the national weather agency may be used, and if multiple reputable sources report different values use the national weather agency's value.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 20, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 24, 2026. The outcome will be settled against api.open-meteo.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 71%, based on 179 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith a forecast max of 24.6°C, it looks like Paris won't hit 25°C on the 23rd. Better luck next time for the summer heat.

58%
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37%
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50%
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