Will Iran publicly accept the U.S. response to its latest offer to end the war?

12%
Stable · last 24h

75%
+11% last 24h
YES if the single most recent individual poll listed at the top of the 'Recent polls' table on the Wikipedia page 'Opinion polling for the 2027 Mexican legislative election' as it appears at 00:00 on 22 October 2026 (UTC−06:00) reports a numeric percentage for PAN that is strictly greater than the numeric percentage reported for PRI. Otherwise NO. • If that most recent poll entry omits a numeric percentage for PAN or for PRI, or if that poll is explicitly described as subnational or regional rather than nationwide, the market is void and bets will be refunded. • The preferred authoritative source for the deciding percentages is the pollster's published report cited by that Wikipedia entry. Percentages shown in the Wikipedia table or in ordinary news reporting are also acceptable. • Source: Wikipedia
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 22, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 22, 2026. The outcome will be settled against en.wikipedia.org. For now, the crowd puts YES at 75%, based on 186 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledYes
Given the latest poll shows PAN at 17.1% and PRI at 14.2%, it's clear that PAN is leading. Expect more support for PAN in the next national survey.

12%
Stable · last 24h

60%
-10% last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h

64%
Stable · last 24h

11%
Stable · last 24h

46%
Stable · last 24h
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