Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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YES if the official match report or substitution list for the 2026 UEFA Super Cup on August 12, 2026 records Ousmane Dembélé as a starter or as a player who entered the field and is recorded as having played at least one minute. Otherwise NO. Outcome will be determined according to UEFA.com's official match report and substitution logs, with corroboration from mainstream outlets such as L'Équipe, Reuters or AP.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 12, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 12, 2026. The outcome will be settled against lequipe.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 90%, based on 193 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledDembélé's likely to play, given his recent form and the importance of the match. The UEFA Super Cup usually sees key players utilized, so I’d expect him to get at least a minute.

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