Will OpenAI publish a public framework for more disclosure about model incidents?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than October 31, 2026, OpenAI posts a public document (blog post, whitepaper, or press release) that it characterizes as a framework, policy, or set of disclosure principles aimed at increasing disclosure about model incidents, and the document is accessible on OpenAI's official blog or in an OpenAI press release. A brief one-sentence “we are working on it” statement or a private/partner-only memo does not count. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against techcrunch.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 83%, based on 406 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

83%

Predictions made

406

Credits staked

7,258

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 8, 2026

Closes

Oct 31, 2026

Expected resolution

Nov 1, 2026

Resolution source

techcrunch.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 31, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Nov 1, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 83% and NO 17%, based on 406 predictions and 7.3K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against techcrunch.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will OpenAI publish a public framework for more disclosure about model incidents?” real-money betting?

No. “Will OpenAI publish a public framework for more disclosure about model incidents?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.