Will Google release the next Gemini Flash model?

67%
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60%
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YES if Apple publicly states during its September 9, 2026 keynote livestream, or in an Apple press release or Apple.com product page tied to that event, that one or more end‑user Siri AI capabilities will be gated behind payment (a paid subscription, a named paid tier, or a specific price). Announcements that developer APIs or enterprise services are paid count as YES only if Apple explicitly says end‑user Siri features will require payment. Time‑limited trials count as paid if Apple says a paid plan will be required after the trial. If Apple cancels the September 9 event and makes no announcement tied to that date, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 9, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 9, 2026. The outcome will be settled against techcrunch.com, 9to5mac.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 60%, based on 2 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven Apple's trend of monetization, I expect at least one Siri feature will require payment. They've been hinting at this shift for a while now, it's highly likely they'll make it official soon.

67%
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70%
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18%
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87%
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79%
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69%
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