🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Sep 9 · Results Sep 11
Will the US, South Korea and Japan start a joint military exercise that includes forces from all three countries?
52%
+15% last 24h
812 bets · 27.7K credits5
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PoliticsOpened Jul 26 · Results Aug 13
Will one or more people be arrested in connection with the homicide of Valentín Gavin Romero before August 13, 2026?
25%
Stable · last 24h
📊 11 bettors💎 237 at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Aug 13🤖 Context
YES if the Fiscalía General del Estado de Morelos (FGE) posts an official press bulletin on its official website dated on or before 11:59 PM on August 12, 2026 that explicitly states one or more persons have been arrested, detained, captured, or formally placed in custody in connection with the homicide of Valentín Gavin Romero. If the FGE website is inaccessible at resolution time, an identical bulletin with the same text posted on the official Gobierno del Estado de Morelos website on or before the same deadline will be used. Otherwise NO, and unofficial media reports or social media posts do not count.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No25%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 75% sure, and they nailed it.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 25%
- Predictions made
- 11
- Credits staked
- 237
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Jul 26, 2026
- Closes
- Aug 6, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 18, 2026
- Outcome
- No
💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet Yes· 6 💎
oh, they’ll probably make a show of it before the deadline. classic move. 🤷♂️
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