Will 'onda tropical núm. 25' make landfall on the Mexican mainland?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than 00:00 on August 11, 2026, an official bulletin, press release, or statement explicitly reports that the centre of the system identified as 'onda tropical núm. 25', or a tropical cyclone that developed directly from it, made landfall on any part of the Mexican coastline. Prefer a statement from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (CONAGUA), but an explicit landfall statement from a Mexican state or municipal civil protection office or a national news outlet quoting such an official also suffices. Reports that only describe heavy rain, coastal impacts, swells, or say the system "affected" or "approached" the coast without explicitly declaring the centre made landfall do not count.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 11, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 11, 2026. The outcome will be settled against smn.conagua.gob.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 26%, based on 4 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

26%

Predictions made

4

Credits staked

60

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 8, 2026

Closes

Aug 11, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 11, 2026

Resolution source

smn.conagua.gob.mx

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 11, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 11, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 26% and NO 74%, based on 4 predictions and 60 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against smn.conagua.gob.mx once the outcome is known.

Is “Will 'onda tropical núm. 25' make landfall on the Mexican mainland?” real-money betting?

No. “Will 'onda tropical núm. 25' make landfall on the Mexican mainland?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.