Will Olivier Faure withdraw from the PS–Place publique primary?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than 00:00 on October 1, 2026 (France local time), Olivier Faure issues a public statement renouncing or withdrawing his candidacy for the PS–Place publique primary, or if the primary organisers or the Socialist Party publish that he is no longer a candidate. Credible reporting from two or more independent, authoritative news outlets (for example AFP, Reuters, Franceinfo, or Le Monde) confirming the withdrawal also suffices. Ambiguous language such as "suspends his campaign" without an explicit renunciation does not count.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 30, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against franceinfo.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 24%, based on 34 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

24%

Predictions made

34

Credits staked

882

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 11, 2026

Closes

Sep 30, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 1, 2026

Resolution source

franceinfo.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 30, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 1, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 24% and NO 76%, based on 34 predictions and 882 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against franceinfo.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Olivier Faure withdraw from the PS–Place publique primary?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Olivier Faure withdraw from the PS–Place publique primary?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.