Will Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open men's singles?

78%
Stable · last 24h

31%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: No
Results Jul 25YES if Kalshi's market page for this match is marked "finalized" and Kalshi's official final outcome is YES by 7:00 PM UTC on August 8, 2026. Otherwise NO. If Kalshi's page does not show a "finalized" status with an explicit YES or NO result (for example it shows "Determined", "Disputed", "Amended", "Unavailable", or a numerical settlement such as $0.50) the market will remain unresolved.
How markets are built and settled31%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 69% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Kalshi's market page for ticker KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26JUL25MARCRA-CRA must be marked "finalized" and the official finalized outcome must be YES by 2026-08-08 19:00 UTC. Observed from supplied Kalshi data: Official status = finalized; Official finalized result = NO. Comparison: status is finalized but the official result is NO (not YES), therefore under the market rule the market resolves NO.
Source: kalshi.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledoliver's got this. if he doesn't win, i’ll eat my own shoes. 🍽️

78%
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67%
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63%
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62%
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49%
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60%
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