Will official national 2025–2026 school dropout figures be published?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than October 15, 2026, the Secretaría de Educación Pública (SEP) publishes on its official channels an official national abandonment/dropout statistic or statistics that explicitly cover the 2025–2026 school cycle. YES also if at least two independent Mexican national news outlets report that SEP has published those official 2025–2026 abandonment figures. Otherwise NO. Preliminary drafts labeled "draft" and publications that only give sub‑national fragments without stating national 2025–2026 figures do not count, and promises to publish or media leaks do not count.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against politica.expansion.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 63%, based on 0 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

63%

Predictions made

0

Credits staked

0

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 5, 2026

Closes

Oct 15, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 16, 2026

Resolution source

politica.expansion.mx

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 15, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 16, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 63% and NO 37%, based on 0 predictions and 0 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against politica.expansion.mx once the outcome is known.

Is “Will official national 2025–2026 school dropout figures be published?” real-money betting?

No. “Will official national 2025–2026 school dropout figures be published?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.