Will DeepSeek's market share be above 23.5%?

40%
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81%
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YES if Nvidia or Hugging Face publicly and unambiguously announce that the acquisition has closed no later than October 15, 2026. Acceptable sources include an official Nvidia or Hugging Face press release, an Nvidia SEC filing (for example an 8‑K), or major wire services quoting the companies. Announcements of an agreement, a signing, reported intent, ongoing talks, or a minority investment do not count; a clear public statement that the transaction has closed is required.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against arstechnica.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 81%, based on 48 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
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40%
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76%
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26%
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77%
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37%
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84%
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