Will the #1 show on Netflix have at least 15 million views?

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YES if Nintendo Corporation hosts an official presentation explicitly labelled "Nintendo Direct", either a livestream or a newly posted official Direct video, on Nintendo's official channels with the recording or livestream timestamp dated no later than September 10, 2026 Japan local date (JST). NO otherwise. Determination is based on Nintendo's official channels and may be corroborated by major gaming outlets.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 9, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 10, 2026. The outcome will be settled against jeuxvideo.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 87%, based on 72 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the upcoming date, it's quite likely Nintendo will announce something officially labeled 'Nintendo Direct'. They usually stick to their schedule for these events.

93%
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45%
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40%
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79%
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34%
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19%
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