Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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YES if the official final score of the full international test match played between New Zealand and South Africa on August 22, 2026 shows New Zealand with strictly more points than South Africa at the final whistle, otherwise NO. Resolution is based on the official match report published by World Rugby or by the national unions New Zealand Rugby or SA Rugby.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 22, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 22, 2026. The outcome will be settled against lequipe.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 66%, based on 33 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledNew Zealand will likely take this; their form has been strong lately, and with less than a day to go, they're poised to deliver a solid performance against South Africa.

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83%
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72%
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23%
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61%
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93%
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