Will Bitcoin on Binance be at or above $80,000 on September 7?

40%
Stable · last 24h

33%
Stable · last 24h
YES if the recorded daily maximum temperature for New York City for the local calendar day September 9, 2026 is greater than or equal to 30.0 °C, otherwise NO. Use the Open‑Meteo daily-maximum value for New York City as the primary source. If Open‑Meteo does not provide a numeric daily maximum, use the U.S. National Weather Service (NOAA). If NOAA is not available, use numeric daily-maximum values reported by at least two reputable independent weather services such as Weather.gov, Weather.com, or AccuWeather. If those sources disagree, use the median of all available numeric daily-maximum values after converting any Fahrenheit values to Celsius using C = (F − 32) × 5/9 without additional rounding. A value exactly equal to 30.0 °C counts as YES.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 7, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 10, 2026. The outcome will be settled against api.open-meteo.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 33%, based on 1 prediction.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledThe forecast max is 29.5°C, so hitting 30°C seems unlikely. Keep in mind, weather forecasts can shift, but right now, that's a tough sell.

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36%
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92%
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