Will Apple’s CEO transition to John Ternus occur on schedule (September 1, 2026)?

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YES if the recorded daily maximum temperature in New York City on Sunday, August 23, 2026 is at least 29.0 °C according to Open-Meteo. If Open-Meteo's record is missing or clearly erroneous, use the single numeric daily maximum reported by another authoritative public meteorological source, for example the U.S. National Weather Service/NOAA. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 21, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 24, 2026. The outcome will be settled against api.open-meteo.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 37%, based on 0 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledIt's unlikely that New York City will hit 29°C on August 23; the current forecast max is just 28.7°C. Given the margin for error, I wouldn't bet on this one happening.

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