Will tropical cyclone Karina reach Saffir‑Simpson Category 4 intensity?

77%
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56%
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Market closed. Awaiting resolution.
Results Jan 16YES if NASA’s NEO Surveyor mission officially announces detection of at least one previously untracked near‑Earth object (asteroid or comet) by December 31, 2027; NO otherwise.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Jan 15, 2028, and the market is expected to resolve on Jan 16, 2028. The outcome will be settled against jpl.nasa.gov. For now, the crowd puts YES at 56%, based on 0 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledNo comments yet. Start the conversation!

77%
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54%
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56%
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22%
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69%
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