Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

94%
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88%
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YES if the official 2026 US Open / USTA match results or the WTA/ITF official records show Naomi Osaka started play in at least one women's singles main-draw match no later than 12:00 PM US Eastern Time on September 1, 2026. A match "start" means she played at least one point or officially retired after play began. If the tournament is cancelled before any matches are played, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 30, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against lequipe.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 88%, based on 27 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
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94%
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50%
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52%
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50%
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24%
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86%
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