Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

94%
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77%
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YES if Naomi Osaka is listed among the four semifinalists at the 2026 WTA 1000 tournament in Toronto, meaning she advanced past the quarterfinals, according to the WTA official draw/results or the tournament’s official results. NO otherwise. If the tournament is cancelled before quarterfinal matches are completed, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 10, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 11, 2026. The outcome will be settled against lequipe.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 77%, based on 96 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledOsaka's had a solid run this tournament, but with only an hour left before betting closes, her path to the semifinals looks challenging. I doubt she makes it.

94%
Stable · last 24h

87%
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92%
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17%
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22%
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86%
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