Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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65%
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YES if, no later than August 14, 2026, AS Roma or Atlético de Madrid publishes an official announcement, or the player's registration appears on Serie A registration lists, confirming Nahuel Molina has joined AS Roma on a permanent transfer or loan. Official club announcements and Serie A registration are preferred, but reputable sports outlets reporting the completed signing are also acceptable, and announcements that only say the player travelled to negotiate, that an offer was made, or an agreement in principle do not count. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 14, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 15, 2026. The outcome will be settled against marca.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 65%, based on 9 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledNahuel Molina is likely to join AS Roma before the deadline. With four days left, an announcement is very plausible, especially given Marca's report. Expect the official word soon.

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75%
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84%
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90%
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17%
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22%
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