Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

94%
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73%
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YES if, no later than August 17, 2026, Atlético de Madrid, the acquiring club, or LaLiga registration publishes an announcement or registration showing Nahuel Molina has left Atlético de Madrid and is registered or under contract with another club. Mainstream reputable news outlets confirming the completed move are acceptable as corroboration. Announcements that only report travel or ongoing negotiations do not count. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 17, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 18, 2026. The outcome will be settled against marca.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 73%, based on 16 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledMolina's departure seems inevitable this week. With just six days left, a solid source like Marca is likely to confirm a transfer, making a YES outcome reasonable.

94%
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34%
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43%
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57%
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82%
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76%
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