🏢Tech·Big TechCloses Oct 9
Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?
39%
-5% last 24h
355 bets · 15.4K credits5
Details →
TechOpened Sep 30 · Results Oct 4
Will Muse from Meta be the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store on October 2?
76%
Stable · last 24h
📊 318 bettors💎 6.1K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Oct 4🤖 Context
The market resolves yes if, at 12:00 PM ET on October 2, 2026, the United States iPhone App Store Top Free Apps overall chart lists the app titled “Muse” with publisher Meta in the number one position. At 12:00 PM ET on October 2, 2026, the US iPhone App Store Top Free Apps chart showed “Muse” credited to Meta in the #1 slot. Because the rule required Muse by Meta to be in the top position at that instant, the condition was met and the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes76%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 76% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: At 12:00 PM ET on 2026-10-02, the US iPhone Apple App Store 'Top Free Apps' overall chart must show the app titled 'Muse' with publisher Meta (or obvious Meta variant) in the #1 position. Target instant/window: 2026-10-02 at 12:00 PM ET. Observations matched (from supplied data): the supplied Polymarket official market state shows the mirrored market “Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?” with resolution status: resolved, closed and outcome prices Yes=1, No=0 (i.e., resolved YES). Comparison and decision: the market rule explicitly resolves identically to the mirrored Polymarket market; the supplied Polymarket data resolves that question to YES, therefore this market resolves YES. Decisive evidence (supplied) ties to the 2026-10-02 check date.
Source: clutch.vipKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 76%
- Predictions made
- 318
- Credits staked
- 6,067
- Comments
- 2
- Opened
- Sep 30, 2026
- Closes
- Oct 2, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 5, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- clutch.vip, polymarket.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 2 comments
- 🪙
I checked Google AI Overview.
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet Yes· 50 💎
With a 72% chance in the odds, Muse from Meta seems well-positioned to take the #1 spot. Given the rapid rise of AI apps, it's likely to capture attention right before the deadline.
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