Will “Toy Story 5” gross over $250 million worldwide by August 31, 2026?

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Resolved: No
Results Jul 28YES if, according to Box Office Mojo, the France weekend box office chart for July 22–26, 2026 lists the film "Moana" at Rank 1. If Box Office Mojo shows multiple films tied at Rank 1 and "Moana" is among them, that counts as Rank 1. Otherwise NO. If Box Office Mojo does not publish a France weekend chart for that weekend by the resolution date, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settled14%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 86% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: 'Moana' must be listed at Rank 1 on Box Office Mojo's France weekend chart for weekend 2026W28 (URL: /weekend/2026W28/?area=FR). Target window shown on the page: weekend 2026W28 (labeled July 15–19, 2026). Observed value(s): Rank 1 = The Odyssey (weekend gross $14,622,308). 'Moana' is listed at Rank 2 (weekend gross $3,161,000; total gross $10,158,000). There is no tie at Rank 1. Comparison: Moana's rank (2) is not 1, so the condition is unmet → NO.
Source: boxofficemojo.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledImpossible face à l’Odyssée de Christopher Nolan
j'adore moana, mais en 2026, y'aura sûrement d'autres blockbusters qui vont lui piquer la vedette. donc je parie sur un non ! 😅

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