Will Missouri be ordered to use the 2022 or 2025 congressional map for the 2026 election?

🤖 Context

YES if, before polls open on November 3, 2026, two or more independent, authoritative news outlets report that a U.S. federal court (the U.S. Supreme Court or a federal appeals court) has issued a public order that unambiguously tells Missouri election officials which congressional map to use for the 2026 general election, explicitly naming either the 2022 lines or the 2025 lines. Orders or rulings that only address procedure, deny emergency relief without deciding which map will govern, or are ambiguous count as NO. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Nov 3, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 4, 2026. The outcome will be settled against san.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 33%, based on 408 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

33%

Predictions made

408

Credits staked

7,428

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 12, 2026

Closes

Nov 3, 2026

Expected resolution

Nov 4, 2026

Resolution source

san.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Nov 3, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Nov 4, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 33% and NO 67%, based on 408 predictions and 7.4K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against san.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Missouri be ordered to use the 2022 or 2025 congressional map for the 2026 election?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Missouri be ordered to use the 2022 or 2025 congressional map for the 2026 election?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.