Will “Toy Story 5” gross over $250 million worldwide by August 31, 2026?

92%
Stable · last 24h

32%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: No
Results Jul 21YES if Box Office Mojo's Weekend Chart for 2026W29 shows a strictly larger Weekend Gross for Minions & Monsters than for Toy Story 5 for the July 17-19, 2026 weekend, otherwise NO. If one film is absent from the chart treat its weekend gross as $0, and if the two films have identical weekend grosses the market resolves NO. If Box Office Mojo does not publish the 2026W29 chart by 12:00 PM on July 21, 2026, the market will be resolved using Box Office Mojo's first published 2026W29 weekend chart once it is posted.
How markets are built and settled32%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 68% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Box Office Mojo Weekend Chart for 2026W29 (July 17–19, 2026) must show Weekend Gross(Minions & Monsters) > Weekend Gross(Toy Story 5). Target window/chart: July 17-19, 2026 (2026W29). Observed from the supplied Box Office Mojo 2026W29 chart: Minions & Monsters Weekend Gross = $14,800,000; Toy Story 5 Weekend Gross = $14,800,000. Comparison: $14,800,000 is not strictly greater than $14,800,000. The market rule also specifies identical grosses resolve NO. Therefore outcome = NO.
Source: boxofficemojo.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledIt was decided by nothing at all!!!
no way minions & monsters beats toy story 5. nostalgia wins every time 🔥

92%
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83%
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77%
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