Will Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open men's singles?

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33%
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YES if the official Stage 20 finishing classification for the 2026 Vuelta a España (the La Calahorra → Collado del Alguacil stage run on 12 September 2026) names Mikel Landa as the stage winner (first place). The market relies on the race organiser’s official results (La Vuelta / Unipublic) or the UCI official classification, with major sports wire reporting acceptable as confirmation. If the stage is neutralised, cancelled, declared void, or the official classification records no winner, the market resolves NO. If official results list co-winners, the market resolves YES if Landa is explicitly named among them.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 12, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 12, 2026. The outcome will be settled against velo.outsideonline.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 33%, based on 26 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledLanda's form has been strong this season, and with only a few days left, he’s likely to capitalize on this crucial stage. Expect him to take the win.

78%
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24%
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30%
Stable · last 24h

79%
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69%
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90%
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