Will Algeria restore the death penalty for people who deliberately set wildfires?

69%
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45%
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YES if, no later than October 20, 2026, two or more independent national or international news outlets report that Mexico's Secretary of Foreign Affairs, Canciller Velasco, presided over or attended a formal inauguration or official opening ceremony for a Mexican Consulate in Chongqing, China. A press release from Mexico's Secretariat of Foreign Affairs (SRE) or the Consulate's own announcement can be used as supporting evidence but is not required. Announcements of planned openings, travel schedules, or an administrative opening without an inauguration ceremony and without the minister presiding resolve NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 10, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 21, 2026. The outcome will be settled against eluniversal.com.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 45%, based on 4 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith the deadline approaching and the necessity for credible coverage, I expect Velasco to attend this inauguration. The SRE press release or independent reports are likely to happen.

69%
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33%
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52%
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50%
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27%
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46%
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