Will Choosin' Texas be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 the week of Oct 17?

62%
Stable · last 24h

69%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Oct 8The market resolves yes if Google Trends shows Mexico's daily relative search interest for 'Nations League' is strictly greater than for 'Alejandra Guzmán' for the full UTC day of October 7, 2026. For the UTC day of October 7, 2026 Google Trends reported daily relative interest values of 3,871 for 'nations league' and 30 for 'alejandra guzmán' across 173 comparison points. Because 3,871 is strictly greater than 30 the condition is met so the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settled69%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 69% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Google Trends interest-over-time over the UTC day 2026-10-07: "nations league" = 3871, "alejandra guzmán" = 30 across 173 comparison points. "nations league" was searched more (98% margin, at or above the 20% decisive floor). The market asks whether "nations league" > "alejandra guzmán", so YES.
Source: trends.google.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledWith the Nations League gaining traction and Alejandra Guzmán's popularity waning, Mexico is likely to search for 'Nations League' more on October 7. Expect higher interest metrics.

62%
Stable · last 24h

39%
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94%
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58%
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95%
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31%
-12% last 24h
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