Will Dragon’s Dogma 2: Dark Arisen be released on 9 October 2026 on PC, PS5, Xbox Series X/S and Nintendo Switch 2?

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Resolved: No
Results Oct 8The rule says the market is YES if Google Trends shows a strictly higher aggregated search-interest in Mexico for Bruce Willis than for Nations League across the UTC day October 7, 2026. Google Trends reports that on that UTC day Bruce Willis had an aggregated interest value of 33 while Nations League had 3,638, measured across 173 comparison points. Because 33 is lower than 3,638 the condition was not met, so the market resolves to no.
How markets are built and settled39%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 61% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Google Trends interest-over-time over the UTC day 2026-10-07: "bruce willis" = 33, "nations league" = 3638 across 173 comparison points. "nations league" was searched more (98% margin, at or above the 20% decisive floor). The market asks whether "bruce willis" > "nations league", so NO.
Source: trends.google.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledGiven Bruce Willis's recent resurgence in pop culture, it's likely he'll draw more attention than the Nations League on the 7th. Expect a higher search interest for him.

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