Will meteorological summer 2026 in Spain be the warmest on record?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than 12:00 on September 7, 2026, the Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) issues a public bulletin, press release, or technical note that explicitly states meteorological summer 2026 (June–August 2026) was the warmest on record in AEMET's long-term Spanish series. Wording like "the warmest", "highest summer average", or "tied for the warmest" counts as YES. Vague phrasing such as "one of the warmest" counts as NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 6, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 9, 2026. The outcome will be settled against efe.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 65%, based on 12 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

65%

Predictions made

12

Credits staked

355

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 1, 2026

Closes

Sep 6, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 9, 2026

Resolution source

efe.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 6, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 9, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 65% and NO 35%, based on 12 predictions and 355 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against efe.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will meteorological summer 2026 in Spain be the warmest on record?” real-money betting?

No. “Will meteorological summer 2026 in Spain be the warmest on record?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.