Will meteorological summer 2026 be the warmest (or tied for warmest) in Spain's instrumental record?

🤖 Context

YES if no later than September 7, 2026 the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) issues a clear public official statement (press release, climate bulletin, or equivalent on AEMET's official channels) explicitly declaring that meteorological summer 2026 (June–August 2026) was the warmest, or tied for the warmest, in AEMET's instrumental record for Spain. Ordinary reporting in major news outlets that quote or link to AEMET's statement (for example EFE, RTVE, El País) also counts. Otherwise NO, including if AEMET issues no such unequivocal statement or if its wording is only ambiguous (for example "among the warmest" or "likely to be the warmest").

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 6, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 8, 2026. The outcome will be settled against efe.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 82%, based on 8 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

82%

Predictions made

8

Credits staked

275

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 31, 2026

Closes

Sep 6, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 8, 2026

Resolution source

efe.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 6, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 8, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 82% and NO 18%, based on 8 predictions and 275 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against efe.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will meteorological summer 2026 be the warmest (or tied for warmest) in Spain's instrumental record?” real-money betting?

No. “Will meteorological summer 2026 be the warmest (or tied for warmest) in Spain's instrumental record?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.