Will Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open men's singles?

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Resolved: No
Results Aug 1YES if a new contract extension for Memphis Depay with Corinthians is publicly recorded on or before 11:59 PM on July 31, 2026, Brasília time (UTC−03:00), either as an official news release on the club's website or as a registration entry in the Confederação Brasileira de Futebol's BID system. A club announcement posted only on social media does not count. If a BID entry that appears on or before July 31 is formally annulled by the CBF before 11:59 PM on August 2, 2026, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settled30%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 70% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Multiple independent news reports in the provided evidence state that negotiations were ongoing and that the new contract had not yet been signed by 31 July 2026. The Meu Timão piece (31/07/2026) explicitly says the parties had aligned clauses but that the player could return on Monday 3 August to do medicals and "oficializar a assinatura" (officially sign), showing the signature had not been completed by 31 July. CNN Brasil and Estadão (29–31 July 2026) likewise report that minutas/terms were exchanged and that the club was awaiting the player’s return and medicals before a formal signing; ge.globo reports negotiations were still being finalized. No source in the supplied evidence gives an unambiguous dated report that Memphis had signed a new contract by 2026-07-31 23:59 BRT.
Source: meutimao.com.brSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledno way memphis is sticking around that long. he’s too busy flexing elsewhere. 😂

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