Will MrBeast's official YouTube channel show 200,000,000 or more subscribers?

92%
+1% last 24h

41%
Stable · last 24h
YES if, no later than October 15, 2026, a publicly accessible purchasable or rentable listing for the feature film 'Iron Lung' appears on YouTube's Movies & TV storefront or is offered as a paid 'movie' on Markiplier’s official YouTube channel, otherwise NO. Resolution will rely on YouTube/Google's Movies & Shows listing or an official YouTube/Google announcement and should be verifiable via mainstream entertainment reporting such as Variety, The Hollywood Reporter, Reuters, or AP. Clips, free-to-view uploads, unlisted posts, and third-party storefronts that do not list the film on YouTube do not count.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 16, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tubefilter.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 41%, based on 22 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledI’m leaning towards yes here. With over a month to go, Markiplier is likely to push for that listing on YouTube; he knows how to leverage his audience.

92%
+1% last 24h

51%
Stable · last 24h

87%
Stable · last 24h

53%
Stable · last 24h

30%
Stable · last 24h

25%
Stable · last 24h
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