Will the Russian vessel seized by Norway be returned to Russian custody?

21%
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94%
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Market closed. Awaiting resolution.
Results Sep 5YES if Marine Tondelier, physically present at the Braderie de Lille on September 5, 2026, speaks in person at the Ecologistes party stand during the event that day. Passing by, meeting people without speaking at the stand, or giving a prerecorded or remote message does not count. Confirmation must come from contemporaneous reporting by major news outlets or wire services, or from the Ecologistes party or the Braderie organisers (for example Franceinfo or AFP).
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 5, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 5, 2026. The outcome will be settled against franceinfo.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 94%, based on 61 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledSpeech announced on their website

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