Will Tadej Pogačar win the Vuelta a España overall?

32%
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54%
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YES if, by 11:59 PM EDT on September 7, 2026, the official US Open 2026 men's singles draw/results page lists Mariano Navone as a participant in the tournament's fourth round (Round of 16). Preferred sources are the official US Open draws/results (usopen.org) or the ATP Tour draw/results pages. Reliable coverage from outlets such as ESPN, AP, or Reuters is acceptable. Walkovers, opponent retirements, and wins awarded by default count as advancement if the official draw lists Navone in that round. If the tournament is suspended or cancelled before fourth-round participants are published and no official Round-of-16 list exists, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 2, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 8, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.co.uk. For now, the crowd puts YES at 54%, based on 1 prediction.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledNavone's recent form suggests he could make it to the fourth round, but with only days left and strong competition ahead, I doubt he’ll actually pull it off.

32%
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61%
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58%
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72%
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51%
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92%
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