Will the U.S. and Iran publicly say they've concluded a bilateral agreement on managing the Strait of Hormuz?

14%
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31%
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YES if, no later than August 25, 2026, two or more independent Spanish or international news outlets report that Margarita Robles appeared, in person or by videoconference, at an official meeting or hearing of the Senate Defence Commission to provide explanations on the Ceuta crisis. A press conference, a written statement, or an appearance before a different committee does not count. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 25, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 26, 2026. The outcome will be settled against efe.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 31%, based on 3 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven her position and the gravity of the situation in Ceuta, it's highly likely she will indeed appear before the Senate Defense Commission. Multiple outlets should cover it before the deadline.

14%
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45%
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13%
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47%
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75%
+5% last 24h

67%
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