Will MaiaSpace conduct its first orbital launch by December 31, 2026?

🤖 Context

YES if MaiaSpace (ArianeGroup’s French light reusable launcher) completes at least one orbital launch from the Guiana Space Centre by December 31, 2026; NO otherwise.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Dec 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Jan 1, 2027. The outcome will be settled against fr.wikipedia.org. For now, the crowd puts YES at 56%, based on 6 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

56%

Predictions made

6

Credits staked

57

Comments

0

Opened

May 26, 2026

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Expected resolution

Jan 1, 2027

Resolution source

fr.wikipedia.org

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Dec 31, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Jan 1, 2027.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 56% and NO 44%, based on 6 predictions and 57 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against fr.wikipedia.org once the outcome is known.

Is “Will MaiaSpace conduct its first orbital launch by December 31, 2026?” real-money betting?

No. “Will MaiaSpace conduct its first orbital launch by December 31, 2026?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.