Will Apple’s CEO transition to John Ternus occur on schedule (September 1, 2026)?

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YES if Open-Meteo reports a daily maximum temperature for Madrid on 3 September 2026 that is greater than or equal to 39.0 °C, otherwise NO. The daily maximum is the highest 2‑metre air temperature recorded during Madrid's local calendar day (00:00:00–23:59:59, UTC+02:00). If Open-Meteo does not provide a numeric value for that date, resolvers may use other independent public meteorological sources such as the national meteorological agency, and if multiple authoritative sources publish differing numeric maxima prefer the Open-Meteo value if available and otherwise prefer the national meteorological agency's value, and if no authoritative public source publishes a numeric observed daily maximum for Madrid on that date the market will be declared void.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 4, 2026. The outcome will be settled against api.open-meteo.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 43%, based on 19 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledNot a chance. Open-Meteo forecasts only 38.6 °C for September 3, and given the typical inaccuracy of weather predictions, reaching 39 °C seems unlikely.

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42%
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93%
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44%
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