Will Bitcoin be at or above $64,500 on Binance on August 14?

23%
Stable · last 24h

80%
Stable · last 24h
YES if the recorded daily maximum temperature for Madrid on 16 August 2026 is greater than or equal to 30.0 °C, otherwise NO. Settlement will be based preferably on Open‑Meteo's daily maximum for Madrid for that date, but corroborating daily-maximum figures from other reputable meteorological services may be used. If a source reports only hourly temperatures, the highest hourly reading during the Madrid local calendar date 16 August 2026 will be treated as that day's maximum, exact equality (30.0 °C) counts as YES, and values in other units will be converted to °C before comparison.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 13, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 17, 2026. The outcome will be settled against api.open-meteo.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 80%, based on 16 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledThe forecast is showing a max of 29.7 °C, which is shy of the 30 °C mark. Given the timing, I don’t see it hitting that threshold, so I’m betting NO here.

23%
Stable · last 24h

70%
Stable · last 24h

45%
Stable · last 24h

35%
Stable · last 24h

55%
Stable · last 24h

45%
Stable · last 24h
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