Will Apple’s CEO transition to John Ternus occur on schedule (September 1, 2026)?

59%
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66%
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YES if the observed daily maximum temperature for Madrid on 25 August 2026 is greater than or equal to 28 °C according to Open‑Meteo's daily maximum for Madrid, otherwise NO. Equality to 28 °C counts as YES. If multiple independent public sources publish different numeric daily maxima, the value reported by a majority of those reputable meteorological services or major Spanish news outlets will be used to settle the market.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 22, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 26, 2026. The outcome will be settled against api.open-meteo.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 66%, based on 12 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith a forecast max of exactly 28 °C, it's really a toss-up. Given the current data, I think it’ll hit 28 °C, so I'm betting on a YES here.

59%
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86%
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30%
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85%
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61%
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46%
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