Will Apple’s CEO transition to John Ternus occur on schedule (September 1, 2026)?

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59%
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YES if Madrid's recorded daily maximum temperature on 28 August 2026 is greater than or equal to 26.0 °C, otherwise NO. Resolution will use the Open-Meteo daily record for Madrid for that date. If Open-Meteo does not publish a clear numeric daily maximum, another independent public meteorological source reporting Madrid's observed daily maximum may be used.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 25, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 29, 2026. The outcome will be settled against api.open-meteo.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 59%, based on 8 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledThe forecast for Madrid is only 25.9°C, which is too close to the 26°C threshold. It's unlikely to reach that mark, so I'm betting against it happening.

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61%
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72%
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79%
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56%
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45%
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