Will Apple’s CEO transition to John Ternus occur on schedule (September 1, 2026)?

63%
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62%
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YES if the recorded daily maximum air temperature for Madrid during the local civil day (00:00:00–23:59:59 Madrid local time) on 1 September 2026 was greater than or equal to 32.0 °C. Open-Meteo's reported daily maximum for Madrid will be used when available, but other reputable meteorological sources reporting Madrid's observed daily maximum for that date may also be used.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 29, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 2, 2026. The outcome will be settled against api.open-meteo.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 62%, based on 7 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledMadrid's forecast shows a maximum of 32.3°C on September 1st, which should easily hit the threshold. I'd bet YES on this one.

63%
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65%
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57%
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94%
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40%
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59%
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